Charles B. Moss

Professor

Department of Food and Resource Economics

University of Florida

1130B McCarty Hall

P.O. Box 110240

Gainesville, FL 32611-0240

Telephone: (352) 392-1845 Ext. 404
Fax: (352) 392-3646
Email: cbmoss@ufl.edu

Personal Information
Agricultural Risk Analysis and Decision Making - AEB 6182

Biographical Sketch
Full Vitae
Short Resume
Risk Programming

The historic difficulties in eliciting utility functions and direct maximization of expected utility originally lead to the development of the mean-variance or of risk programming models. Historically, agricultural economics has focused on mean-variance models to design a crop portfolio. More recent advances include the use of risk programming models to study optimal leverage and other sequential decision processes.

    Lecture XII: The Farm Portfolio Problem Part I: The Expected Value-Variance Frontier PDF,PowerPoint,Slides
      Anderson, Jock R., John L. Dillon, and J. Brian Hardaker. Agricultural Decision Analysis (Ames, Iowa: Iowa State University Press, 1984) Chapter 7: 189-238.
      Freund, R. J. "The Introduction of Risk into a Programming Model." Econometrica 24(1956): 253-63.
      Moss, Charles B., Allen M. Featherstone, and Timothy G. Baker. "Agricultural Assets in an Efficient Multiperiod Portfolio." Agricultural Finance Review 47(1987): 82-94.
      Musser, Wesley N., Harry P. Mapp, Jr., and Peter J. Barry. "Application I: Risk Programming." in Risk Management in Agriculture Edited by Peter J. Barry (Ames Iowa: Iowa State University Press, 1984): 129-147.
    Lecture XIII: The Farm Portfolio Problem Part II: MOTAD and Direct Utility Maximization PDF,PowerPoint,Slides
    Lecture XIV: The Farm Portfolio Problem Part III: Target MOTAD and Discrete Sequential Stochastic Programming PDF,PowerPoint,Slides
      Kramer, Randall A., William T. McSweeny, and Robert W. Stavros. "Soil Conservation with Uncertain Revenues and Input Supplies." American Journal of Agricultural Economics (1983): 694-702.
      Misra, Sukant and Stan R. Spurlock. "Incorporating the Impacts of Uncertain Fieldwork Time on Whole-Farm Risk-Return Levels: A Target Motad Approach." Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics (1991): 9-17.
      Paris, Quirino. "Revenue and Cost Uncertainty, Generalized Mean-Variance, and the Linear Complementarity Problem." American Journal of Agricultural Economics (1979): 268-75.
      Rae, Allan N. "Stochastic Programming, Utility, and Sequential Decision Problems in Farm Management." American Journal of Agricultural Economics
      Tauer, Loren W. "Target MOTAD." American Journal of Agricultural Economics (1983): 606-10.
      Zimet, David J. and Thomas H. Spreen. "A Target MOTAD Analysis of a Crop and Livestock Farm in Jefferson County, Florida." Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics (1986): 175-85.
      Vandeveer, Lonnie R., Kenneth W. Paxton, and David R. Lavergne. "Irrigation and Potential Diversification Benefits in Humid Climates." Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics (1989): 167-74.
    Other Materials
      Fortran file for the portfolio problem Fortran
      SPECS file for portfolio problem SPECS
University of Florida Sites
Center for Applied Optimization
Food and Resource Economics Department
Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences (IFAS)
UF Web Mail Portal
UF Spam Portal
University of Florida Libraries
Links to E-Journals University of Florida Access Required
University of Florida
MyUfl
Frequent Internet Sites
JSTOR-Electronic Journal Archive
USDA/Economic Research Service
Google Search
USDA Library at Cornell
ISI Web of Knowledge
Yahoo
AgEcon Search
EconWPA Economics Working Paper Links by Washington University
NBER National Bureau of Economic Research
RePEc at the University of Connecticut
My EconPapers
Economists Jokes
EconStats
Courses Taught
Agricultural Finance (AEB 6145)
Agricultural Risk Analysis and Decision Making (AEB 6182)
Applied General Equilibrium Notes
Econometric Seminar (1995)
Financial Theory I (FIN 6446)
Mathematics for Food and Resource Economics (AEB 4511)
Mathematical Programming for Economic Analysis (AEB 6592)
Applied Nonlinear Workshop (October 2008)
Production Economics (AEB 6184)
Static and Dynamic Optimization (AEB 6533)
Statistics for Food and Resource Economics (AEB 6933)
Personal Webpages
Alachua Free Net
www.charlesbmoss.info
Home Computer
Old Ricardo Webpage
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